[hrbuckley]

People keep saying this. But if you look closely at tech history, it is not comming first, or even quickly after others that is the deciding factor. Apple was "late to the party" compared to RIM with a smart phone, Android is even later. The iPad was certainly not the first tablet, but certainly put tablets on the map for the average user. This is especially true in a field where the installed base turns over every couple of years.

No, the real question is can RIM come up with something that will capture the upgraders when they decide it is time to move on from whatever they are using now, and can they last until that time. And as Tsac points out, if there are a couple of major security issues related to smart phone security on the scale of Sony, people may re-think their requirements.